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The race to challenge Trump: Warren on the rise; Biden still leads

Important first races

Featued in the image is former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden.
Featued in the image is former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden. | REUTERS/Joshua Roberts

According to polling analyses by RealClearPolitics that was accessed Monday, Biden leads in the polling for all three key opening races of 2020.

In Iowa, the first state caucus, Biden leads in the RCP average with 26 percent. Behind him was Warren at 18 percent and in third was Sanders at 14 percent.

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Warren saw an increase of nearly 5 percentage points compared to earlier in July (13.3 percent), when at one point she trailed Sanders, who at the time was in second place with 15.7 percent.

Rounding out the top five in the most recent poll numbers for Iowa were Sen. Harris at 13.5 percent and Mayor Buttigieg at 7.5 percent.

In New Hampshire, which will be the first official primary, Biden leads with 21 percent, a decline from earlier in July when he had 29.7 percent.

Behind Biden in New Hampshire is Sanders at 19.3 percent and Warren at 14.7 percent, nearly 4 points higher than the 11 percent reported at one point in July.

Rounding out the top five presidential hopefuls in New Hampshire are Harris with 9 percent and Buttigieg at 7 percent. Compared to earlier in July, Buttigieg has seen his support drop around 3 percentage points. 

In South Carolina, the first primary held in the South, Biden maintains — as he has with past polling — a commanding lead over his opponents.

Biden came in first with 38 percent, which was lower than the 41.5 percent he had at one point in May. In second was Sanders with 14.3 percent and Warren with 12.7 percent.

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